BJP could have turned the tables on 33 seats with just 6 lakh votes! Know how the game got spoilt

Ananya Shroff
4 Min Read


New Delhi : As soon as the results of the Lok Sabha elections came out, political experts started doing calculations. This time, while the BJP won 240 Lok Sabha seats on its own, the NDA got 293 seats. This is 20 seats more than the majority figure of 272 in the 543-member House. However, this is in contrast to the spectacular performance of the BJP in the 2014 and 2019 Lok Sabha elections. At that time, the party had achieved the majority figure on its own. Analysis of this election shows that there are about 33 seats where the contest was very close. If the BJP had got an additional 6,26,311 votes on these seats, the party could have been successful in achieving majority alone.

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In Chandigarh, BJP lost by a narrow margin of 2504 votes, while in Hamirpur in Uttar Pradesh, the margin was just 2,629 votes. In Salempur in UP, the BJP candidate lost by 3,573 votes. In Dhule in Maharashtra, the party lost by just 3,831 votes. In Dhaurahra in UP, the BJP candidate lost by 4,449 votes. Apart from this, there were some other seats where the margin of victory was less in the overall scenario. This also includes the South Goa seat, where BJP lost by 13535 votes. In Tirupati in Andhra Pradesh, it lost by 14,569 votes, while in Thiruvananthapuram in Kerala, it lost by 16,077 votes.

There were some seats where the margin of defeat of BJP was a little higher. In Fatehpur, UP, the party lost by 33,199 votes, in Kheri, the BJP candidate lost by 34,329 votes. Overall, there are about 33 such seats where the BJP candidate had to face defeat by a narrow margin. Keeping in mind the future elections, BJP needs to make a little change in its strategy on these seats, so that the loss of a few votes can be converted into victory. Overall, there was a 21 percent decline in the seats of BJP in this election. Talking about Congress, a spectacular increase of 90 percent was recorded in its seats.

BJP contested 441 seats this time, while Congress fielded its candidates on 328 seats. Further analysis shows that out of the 168 seats on which BJP fielded its sitting MPs, the party won 111 seats, which is 66 percent of the total seats. At the same time, out of the 132 seats on which sitting MPs were not given tickets, the party won 95 seats, which is 72 percent of the total seats. This shows that the party was successful in curbing anti-incumbency sentiment in some seats by changing candidates. However, being far from the majority figure in Parliament, BJP may have to depend on the will of allies like Nitish Kumar and Chandrababu Naidu.

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