Are farmers responsible for BJP's defeat?
There is a lot of discussion in the political corridors about the weakening position of BJP. The farmers' displeasure with the Modi government is being seen as the biggest reason behind the huge loss suffered by the BJP. There was a big movement in the country against the BJP regarding the agricultural laws. Farmers sat on dharna in Delhi for several days. However, the Modi government withdrew the agricultural laws in view of the anger of the farmers. But the Modi government was largely unsuccessful in calming the anger of the farmers. This is the reason why the vote share of BJP in rural areas has fallen from 39.5% in 2019 to 35% now. Apart from this, BJP is also estimated to lose 40 seats due to the protest of farmers.
Decline in BJP's rural vote bank
In 2019, BJP got 39.5% votes in rural areas. This time it has got 35% votes. In the same five years, its vote share in urban areas increased from 33.6% to 40.1%. But as Mahatma Gandhi said, 'India lives in villages.' This increase of 6.5 percentage points in urban areas is not enough to compensate for the loss of 4.5 percentage points in rural areas. This difference of 4.5 percentage points has kept BJP away from forming the government and BJP is going to form the government with the help of NDA allies like AAP.
India's dominance in rural areas
The strong presence of the BJP was clearly seen in urban areas. This was clearly seen in Delhi, where the party once again won all 7 seats with a huge margin. On the other hand, the All India Alliance of opposition parties dominated the rural areas. The lead party of the alliance, Congress, saw its vote share in rural areas increase slightly from 17.1% in 2019 to 17.6%. On the other hand, the Samajwadi Party got 62.7% support from rural areas, dominating Uttar Pradesh despite the 'double engine' effect of Modi and Yogi's leadership.
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