When Congress crossed the '400' mark under Rajiv's leadership, know which party got how many seats in that 1984 Lok Sabha election

Ananya Shroff
7 Min Read

New Delhi: In just a few hours from now, the results of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections will be declared. If the exit polls prove correct, the BJP-led NDA will easily cross the majority mark by securing 350-400 seats. Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who campaigned vigorously, is likely to get a historic third term. With this, he will equal the record of the country's first Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru. But this is not the only record that the BJP wants to achieve. The results will start coming from 8 am on June 4 and all eyes will be on the final number of NDA seats. People will see whether the BJP is really able to achieve '400 paar' (more than 400 seats). The only time a party achieved this target was in the 1984 general elections. At that time, the Rajiv Gandhi-led Congress won 414 seats. Votes were cast for 541 seats then.

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PM Modi gave the slogan of crossing 400

In 2014, when the NDA announced Narendra Modi's name for the prime minister's post, it gave a new twist to its Lok Sabha election campaign. This was the beginning of a Modi-centric election campaign for the BJP. Focusing on Gujarat's development model, the BJP sought votes to oust the Congress from the Centre. At that time, the BJP had given slogans like 'Ghar Ghar Modi' and 'Abki Baar Modi Sarkar'. In 2019, when PM Modi sought a second term, the BJP took the 'Abki Baar' slogan forward and gave the slogan 'Phir Ek Baar Modi Sarkar'. Like PM Modi's development work, this slogan also touched the hearts of the voters. In the 2019 Lok Sabha election, the NDA registered a consistent victory. The alliance increased its number of seats from 336 to 353. This year, when PM Modi aimed to equal Jawaharlal Nehru's record for a third term, he gave the slogan 'Abki Baar, 400 Paar', setting a target of 400 seats for the NDA. He campaigned across the country, holding over 200 rallies, road shows and other mass outreach programmes, asking voters to turn '400 Paar' into reality to ensure that the Congress and the opposition Bharat Bloc do not succeed in their plans to put a 'Babri lock' on the temple in Ayodhya or bring back Article 370 in Jammu and Kashmir.

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When Congress crossed 400

In a few hours from now, it will be known whether the NDA will be able to achieve its target of 400 seats or not. This ambitious target has been achieved only once in Indian electoral history, that too in the 1984 Lok Sabha elections. In the 1984 elections held after the assassination of Indira Gandhi, the Congress led by Rajiv Gandhi won 414 out of a total of 541 seats. Apart from the highest number of seats, the Congress also got the highest vote share ever for a single party. At that time, the vote share of the Congress was 48.12 percent. The CPI (M) was at the second position. It got 22 seats and 5.71 percent vote share. Then the BJP got only 2 seats with 7.4 percent vote share.

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what are the exit polls saying

According to the exit polls conducted on Saturday, Prime Minister Narendra Modi can win his third consecutive term. Along with this, the BJP-led NDA is expected to get a huge majority in the Lok Sabha elections. Axis My India has estimated that the BJP-led alliance can get 361 to 401 seats. At the same time, the opposition India Block is expected to get 131-166 seats in the 543-member Lok Sabha. ABP-C Voter has predicted the ruling alliance to get 353-383 seats and India Block to get 152-182 seats. Chanakya's exit poll has predicted the BJP and its alliance to get more seats than the 2019 elections. It has predicted 335 seats for the BJP and 400 seats for the NDA. There is a difference of 15 seats on both sides. The opposition alliance is expected to get 107 seats. The Times Now-ETG Research exit poll has given 358 seats to the NDA and 152 seats to the India Block.

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What are election analysts saying?

Many election analysts are indicating that the NDA may cross the 2019 mark of 353 seats, while the BJP had won 303 seats in the last election. Congress had secured 53 seats while its allies had won 38 seats. The NDA may open its account in Tamil Nadu and Kerala. The alliance may win in Karnataka, but may suffer losses in states like Bihar, Rajasthan, Maharashtra and Haryana. According to most political analysts, Uttar Pradesh will remain a stronghold of the BJP. Axis My India has projected the BJP to get 322-340 seats, Congress 60-76 seats and Congress allies 71-90 seats. According to the P Mark poll, the ruling alliance will get 359 seats, while the opposition will get 154 seats. According to the Matrix poll, the NDA will get 353-368 seats and the opposition 118-133 seats. According to the Jan Ki Baat poll, the ruling NDA is projected to get 362-392 seats and the opposition alliance 141-161 seats. India TV-CNX has predicted that the NDA will get 371-401 seats and the opposition will get 109-139 seats. Whereas, News Nation has predicted that the NDA will get 342-378 seats and the opposition will get 153-169 seats.

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