The situation is not like 2004… Will the exit polls prove right or wrong?

unimaginable BJP is going to get a big lead in almost all the states on the coast of the Bay of Bengal. I think even BJP might not have imagined such a big lead. In Bengal, it was believed that perhaps two-four seats will increase and it can achieve a big victory there. The same is happening in Odisha-Telangana. In Andhra, BJP is winning a lot of seats by forming an alliance with TDP. If the exit polls turn out to be correct, then this will be the first time when BJP will have at least one MP in every big state of the country.

India's position According to the exit polls, Congress has maintained its hold in Kerala and Punjab. It has gained some lead in Telangana, Karnataka, Maharashtra, Haryana and Rajasthan. But the special thing is that there has been no significant improvement in the performance of Congress. The biggest setback is felt by Aam Aadmi Party, which may not have any seat or it may get one or two seats from Punjab. Bharat Rashtra Samiti is also facing a setback in Telangana. Biju Janata Dal in Odisha and Trinamool Congress in West Bengal are facing a setback.

Opposition's strategy : This situation also arose because perhaps the strategy that the opposition was making during the elections did not succeed. The opposition wasted the time from September 2023 to February 2024 in talks about alliance, who is going out, who will contest on how many seats. Ultimately they are having to bear the brunt of it.

three things If what was shown in the exit polls on June 1 comes true on June 4, it will be a big change for Indian politics. The first change started from 2014. In which BJP, which was earlier a party of only the North-West, reached the North-Eastern states in 2019 and in 2024 it expanded its scope. It also went to the states adjoining the Bay of Bengal and the South. Second, when the BJP government led by Prime Minister Modi is coming back for the third consecutive time, it is increasing its vote and seat share every time.

Chanakya Lok Sabha Chunav Exit Poll 2024: Record is close to being broken… BJP is surprising in not one or two but many states, see the results of the exit poll
History will be made: This is a very unique thing. This has never happened before in India. Nehru ji also won three times but his party was not expanding. The same thing happened with Indira ji. Thirdly, if these results are correct then difficulties will increase for the opposition in the coming times. This does not mean that there will not be a tough fight at the level of assembly elections and BJP will win easily. But the opposition's dream of challenging BJP at the national level has now been postponed for five years. (The author is a political analyst and fellow at CPR)