Labor codes have not been approved in many states
The Modi government had created 4 labor codes by combining 29 labor and industrial laws, but it could not notify them. Many states have also not approved the labor codes. Similarly, the law making land acquisition easier for companies had to be withdrawn in 2015 due to strong opposition from farmers. In 2021, 3 agricultural laws also had to be withdrawn. All this happened when the BJP had a majority in both the previous NDA governments. Now the BJP has to depend on other allies including JDU and TDP. In such a situation, the new government will have to adopt a different strategy from the previous stance. Rating agencies and economists say that in such a situation, these major reforms may have to be postponed for some time.
Economist and former professor of economics at JNU Arun Kumar said, “All these steps were being taken keeping in mind the interests of the corporates. But these pro-corporate policies will now have to be postponed for some time. Modi will now have to wait for the coalition to stabilize.” Outgoing Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman had said that if the Modi government is formed again, all kinds of next generation reforms including land, labor, capital and digital infrastructure will be done.
However, Fitch Ratings says, “Now some important points of the reform agenda may face challenges. It will be even more difficult to move forward on controversial reforms, especially in the case of land and labor reforms.” There are many bills like amendments to insurance laws, Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code Amendment Bill, Digital India Act 2023, Drugs Medical Devices and Cosmetics Bill 2023 and Pesticides Bill, on which the previous government had problems and now it may be even more difficult to get them passed. Rating agency Moody's said, “The focus of the budget will be on infrastructure and manufacturing, but given that the BJP does not have a majority on its own, major economic and fiscal reforms may now be delayed.”
A consensus must be reached
Senior economist Abhijit Mukhopadhyay said, 'This narrative is spread that GDP growth decreases in coalition governments and economic reforms are hampered, but GDP growth was the highest during the UPA-1 government. At the same time, despite the BJP having an absolute majority, the NDA government had to withdraw 3 laws related to agriculture.' Actually, there is no point in worrying about economic reforms stopping in coalition governments. Major economic reforms in the country were started by the coalition government of PV Narasimha Rao. Many reforms were done by the Vajpayee to Manmohan Singh governments. The issue is to build a consensus. Experienced leaders of the NDA 3.0 government will also do this. What is there to doubt in this?
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