Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that the assassination of Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of terrorist group Hezbollah in Lebanon, would mark a major step towards changing the balance of power in the region in the coming years. Israel launched several major attacks one after the other on the Iran-backed terrorist group in Lebanon. First detonating pagers and walkie talkies, then launching a major airstrike on southern Beirut, killing senior commander Ibrahim Akil. Three days later, Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah was also killed in a major bombing. In these attacks, many buildings were razed to the ground and almost the entire leadership of Hezbollah was destroyed. Israel may be considering this as its victory or its 3H plan may be behind it, but it can also prove to be a heavy burden on it. Israel should not forget that it was because of such steps that Hezbollah was born. Know the whole story from the expert.
What happened in 1982, when Israel took this step?
It was June 1982, when Israel invaded Lebanon with the aim of crushing the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO). Then Israel thought that it would form a Christian-dominated government in Lebanon, which would support it. Apart from this, Syrian forces can also be driven out from there. Israel had failed in all three of these objectives.
Clouds of war loom due to the death of Hassan Nasrallah… What option do Hezbollah, Israel and Iran have now?
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The PLO was once forced to leave the country
Dr. Dhananjay Tripathi, assistant professor of international relations at South Asian University, explains that Palestinian armed groups in Lebanon were forced to leave the country under a US-brokered agreement. At that time the PLO was sent into exile in Tunisia, Yemen and other places. However, just five years later the first Palestinian intifada or rebellion began in Gaza and spread to the West Bank. Today Palestinians remain firm on their objective. He could not tolerate Israeli occupation at any cost. From the graphic below, we understand who is left in Israel's leadership after the recent attacks.
Second Israeli offensive, Operation Peace for Galilee
The 1982 Lebanon War is also known as the second Israeli invasion of Lebanon. It began on 6 June 1982, when Israel invaded southern Lebanon. The invasion resulted in fierce fighting between the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) and Israeli forces operating in southern Lebanon, in which civilians were killed on both sides of the border. The code name of the Israeli military operation was Operation Peace for Galilee.
Assassination of Hassan Nasrallah: Hassan Nasrallah killed in Israeli attack, Israeli army confirmed, a big blow to Lebanon's Hezbollah.
Attempt to assassinate Israeli ambassador cited as reason
Terrorists from the Fatah organization, such as Abu Nidal, attempted to assassinate Israel's ambassador to Britain, Shlomo Argov, after which then Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin blamed the PLO. He cited this as the reason behind the Israeli attack in Lebanon.
The person who was brought to power by Israel was murdered
When the Israeli government expelled the PLO, it formed a pro-Israel Christian government led by President Bashir Gemayel. The Israeli government hoped to sign a treaty that would give Israel '40 years of peace'. However, in the meantime, Gamel was assassinated in September 1982 and the peace treaty was cancelled.
Then finally Hezbollah was born
A large number of Israeli people died due to this war. The Israeli public became disillusioned. The Israeli Defense Forces ended their operations in Lebanon on September 29, 1982. Israeli forces occupied the southern Lebanon Security Zone from February to April 1985, leading to the rise of the Iran-backed militia group Hezbollah. It waged a guerrilla war against the Israeli occupation until the final withdrawal of the IDF from Lebanon in 2000.
Hezbollah's guerrilla tactics harmed Israel
It is believed that the most important result of the Israeli invasion of 1982 was the birth of a canker in the form of Hezbollah, which waged a continuous guerrilla war against Israel. This forced Israel to unilaterally withdraw from South Lebanon. This was the first time that an Arab military force forced Israel to retreat. With the help of Iran from Arab soil, this new group proved to be more lethal and effective than those Palestinian militants. Till 2005, Iran helped Hezbollah a lot in this fight.
Can America also join this war
According to Assistant Professor Dr. Dhananjay Tripathi, Hezbollah has said that it will continue its fight against Israel. It has decided that it will continue to fight for the security of Gaza, Palestine and Lebanon. Both Hezbollah and Iran know that if they launch missile attacks on Israeli cities, it will have two immediate consequences – Israel will retaliate against Iran and the US could also get involved in the conflict, with warships armed with cruise missiles off the coast. Are deployed far away. Are. There is also a possibility that Iran-backed militia groups from Iraq, Syria and Yemen may also join this entire conflict. Some experts are also calling this the beginning of the Third World War.
Give a blow to Hezbollah like Hamas, what will it do?
According to Dr. Dhananjay Tripathi, Ismail Haniya's death is a big blow for Hamas. Nasrallah's assassination is an even bigger blow to Hezbollah. Haniya was assassinated in Tehran, while Nasrallah was buried in Lebanon. Hassan Nasrallah, one of Hezbollah's founders, led the group for several decades. This has greatly hurt the leadership and confidence of Hezbollah. Hezbollah has already vowed to continue fighting. It still has thousands of fighters, many of whom have recent experience fighting in Syria, seeking revenge.
Shock for Iran too, why is Hezbollah its proxy?
Nasrallah's assassination is a big blow to Iran because Hezbollah was its proxy. Over the past 50 years, Iran had created an 'axis of resistance' by combining anti-Israel groups present in the region. Hezbollah is Iran's proxy because it can form a powerful coalition against Israel in the Middle East. We can crack down on him.
Understand from experts what Israel wants
According to Dr. Dhananjay Tripathi, Israel's plan is to continuously attack 3H i.e. Hamas, Hezbollah and Houthi so much that all three come to their knees. Hezbollah's back has been broken due to the prompt action of the Israeli Defense Forces. Now the plan is to force Hezbollah so much that the group stops carrying out attacks against Israel. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu himself believes that these attacks will snatch power from Hezbollah and completely weaken it. Netanyahu wants Hezbollah to stop firing rockets at Israel. However, Israel's very desire could make Hezbollah appear genocidal. Like Raktabeej, many more terrorist organizations like it can take birth in a new form.
What will be Iran's stance after these attacks?
Nasrallah's death is also a big blow for Iran. It has hidden its supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei somewhere due to fear of Israeli attack. Iran has not yet been able to take revenge for the humiliating murder of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniya in a guest house in Tehran in July. Now after the assassination of Nasrallah, Iran is probably considering a new strategy.
Iran may attack Shia militias in Yemen, Syria and Iraq
According to Dhananjay Tripathi, Iran has an entire organization of heavily armed fighters from its allies in the Middle East, which is reportedly called the 'Axis of Resistance'. Apart from Hezbollah, there are Houthis in Yemen and several Shia organizations in Syria and Iraq, whom Iran could ask to attack Israeli and American targets. However, he will think twice about it, as the reaction will be extremely intense.
Will America not make an agreement like Camp David?
On September 17, 1978, the Camp David Accords were signed by then Egyptian President Anwar Sadat and Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin. Both these agreements were signed at the White House in the presence of US President Jimmy Carter after 12 days of secret talks at Camp David, Maryland. These agreements paved the way for the 1979 Egypt–Israel Peace Treaty between Egypt and Israel. Due to these agreements, Sadat and Begin jointly received the Nobel Peace Prize in 1978. However, America's recent stance shows no scope for agreement.
