New Delhi: This time the exit polls have been exposed. All the exit polls had indicated a wave in favour of PM Narendra Modi, but the reality is that BJP is not capable of forming the government on its own. For this, it will need the support of its allies. This result has once again made it clear that the so-called experts who claimed to make accurate predictions had no solid basis for their exit polls. No exit poll had indicated that BJP would not be able to achieve the majority figure. Every exit poll had given more than 350 seats to NDA and more than 300 seats to BJP.
Passed in 2014 and 2019, now failed in 2024Exit polls proved correct in 2019 and 2014, but before that in 2004 and 2009, the predictions of political experts and pollsters had failed. This time it was estimated that BJP would form the government for the third time and in many exit polls, NDA was given more than 400 seats, but it remained about 100 seats short of the 400 figure.
Axis My India exit poll failed completely, why did Pradeep Gupta start trending on social mediaOver 350 seats claimedAxis My India had given 361 to 401 seats to NDA, while it had given 131 to 166 seats to India Alliance. C Voter had given 353 to 383 seats. C Voter had given 152 to 182 seats to India Alliance. Today Chanakya had predicted 400 seats to NDA, while it had given 109 to 139 seats to India Alliance. Besides, CNX had given 371 to 401 seats to NDA. It had given 109 to 139 seats to India Alliance. Times Now ETG had given 358 seats to NDA and 152 seats to India Alliance.
According to the figures that are coming out now, the Bharatiya Janata Party alliance has performed quite well in states like West Bengal, Haryana, Punjab, Rajasthan, whereas in the exit polls these states were being described as a tough test for the alliance. In the exit polls, a close contest was shown between TMC and BJP, or BJP was shown to be better, but the result has been the opposite and TMC has performed better. At the same time, a wave of BJP was shown in UP, but the reality is that BJP has suffered a huge loss in UP.
Lok Sabha Election Result 2024: Exit poll fails again! BJP does not seem to get majority alone, the slogan of crossing 400 is also a 'jumla'
Assessment gone wrong
All pollsters believed that the NDA led by Modi would win 350 to 400 seats. A bigger victory was expected than in 2014 and 2019, but unlike 2014 and 2019, this time BJP has performed the weakest. BJP has not even been able to reach the magical figure of 272 on its own. This is not the first time that exit poll predictions have failed. Exit polls proved wrong even during the general elections before 2004, when everyone predicted the return of BJP under the leadership of Atal Bihari Vajpayee but it proved wrong. In 2009, UPA made a strong comeback but during this time too pollsters failed to make accurate predictions.
Recent exit polls
2004: Failure
2009: Failure
2014: Pass
2019: Pass
