Rahul's bigger win in Raebareli than Wayanad
Keep in mind that Rahul Gandhi is currently an MP from Wayanad in Kerala. He also contested the 2019 Lok Sabha elections from two seats. But then he had to face defeat from BJP candidate Smriti Irani on Amethi seat in Uttar Pradesh. This time he contested from Rae Bareli instead of Amethi. We will discuss this later, first let us know how his performance was in Wayanad. Rahul Gandhi got 59.69% votes from Wayanad seat in Kerala this time and the CPI candidate who got 26.09% votes had to face defeat from him. There was a difference of 3,64,422 votes between the two. In terms of vote percentage, Rahul has won by a margin of 33.6%.
As far as Rae Bareli Lok Sabha seat of Uttar Pradesh is concerned, Rahul Gandhi got 66.17% votes from here in this election. The BJP candidate who lost to him got only 28.64% votes. In this way, Rahul won by a total of 3,90,030 votes (37.53%). It is clear that the victory of Rae Bareli is bigger for Rahul than the victory of Wayanad.
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The margin of victory is one thing, but let's look at some more important factors that Rahul can take into account before making his final decision.
1. Will Rahul disrespect mother Sonia's appeal?
Sonia Gandhi, who has been representing Rae Bareli in the Lok Sabha for decades, had made a very emotional appeal for Rahul Gandhi. In this Lok Sabha election, she addressed only one election meeting. In that rally of Rae Bareli, Sonia had made a very emotional appeal to the voters. Sonia had said, 'I am handing over my son to you. I have full hope that you will take care of Rahul in the same way as you have been doing so far.' If the people of Rae Bareli accept this appeal of Sonia, then will it not be an insult to Sonia's appeal in which she had appealed to Rahul to leave Rae Bareli?
2. This area of UP is equal to the total seats of Kerala
Kerala has only 20 Lok Sabha seats while Uttar Pradesh has four times that i.e. a total of 80 seats. Raebareli falls in the region of Central UP. Central UP has a total of 20 Lok Sabha seats which is equal to the entire state of Kerala.
3. The task of maintaining the momentum of Congress in UP
Congress is strong in Kerala anyway, the situation has worsened in Uttar Pradesh. Only Rae Bareli and Amethi are left because these are the traditional seats of the Gandhi family. Amethi was also lost in the 2019 elections. This time Congress won six seats by forming an alliance with SP. The party's vote percentage in the state has also increased to double digits, reaching 9.46%. In such a situation, Rahul is needed more in Uttar Pradesh where the Congress party will need to keep giving momentum. In Kerala, Congress won 15 out of 20 seats in 2019 and this time it has won 14 seats. This means that even without Rahul, Kerala will continue to give good results for the Congress.
4. Congress is already strong in Kerala
This time BJP has created history by making lotus bloom in Kerala. But it has taken the votes of left parties and not Congress. It may take a long time for BJP to establish its roots there and be in a position to give a jolt to Congress. If BJP grows in Kerala, then there is every possibility that it will grow at the cost of left parties and not by giving a jolt to Congress. In such a situation, Rahul is not forced to leave Rae Bareli and stay in Wayanad.
5. The resentment of the leftist party will also go away
There is also pressure on Rahul to stay away from Kerala. This time the Left parties had strongly objected to Rahul contesting from Wayanad. Even Kerala Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan had publicly stated that if the Congress party is our alliance partner then why is Rahul contesting from here, he should contest against the BJP only. If Rahul leaves Wayanad and stays in Rae Bareli then the complaint of the Left parties will also be resolved and mutual relations will also be strengthened.
6. Congress will be saved from the accusation of 'Muslim League'
In Wayanad, Rahul has to take the support of Indian Union Muslim League (IUML). This is giving BJP an opportunity to tarnish the image of Congress across the country. BJP alleges that Congress is basically a Muslim party and it is with the fundamentalist Muslims. If Rahul contests from Wayanad, he will not be forced to maintain close relations with IUML and BJP may lose a big weapon.