With the results of the Lok Sabha elections 2024, the BJP-led NDA alliance and the Congress-led Bharat Alliance have intensified the exercise to form the government. No party has a majority figure in the 543-member Lok Sabha. 272 seats are required for a majority, but the BJP has only 240 seats, but its NDA alliance has a sufficient figure of 292. At the same time, the Bharat Alliance has a figure of 234. The entire responsibility of forming the government rests on two regional parties TDP and JDU. Political experts say that if JDU leader Nitish Kumar changes sides at the last moment according to his earlier image and TDP's Chandrababu Naidu also starts showing reluctance, then there may be a problem in forming the government. On the other hand, if both of them go with the Bharat Alliance, then their government can be formed.
Modi only has experience of running a BJP government with a huge majority
Narendra Modi has the experience of running a BJP government with a huge majority. After the 2014 and 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the Modi government was also a coalition government. In 2014, the BJP got 282 seats, while in 2019 it got 303 seats. In such a situation, whether there is a coalition or not, it will not make any difference to the health of the BJP. When Modi was the Chief Minister of Gujarat in 2001, he was also the head of a BJP government with a full majority. He does not have the experience of running a coalition government, in which the BJP ran the government with the support of other parties. In such a situation, he may have to work hard to handle 'turncoats' like Naidu and Nitish.
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Vajpayee was an expert in running a coalition government
In 1996, 13 parties formed the United Front government. First HD Deve Gowda and then Inder Kumar Gujral became its Prime Minister. After this, Vajpayee returned again in 1998 and formed the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) government, which was supported by Jayalalitha's AIADMK government. Between 1999 and 2004, the NDA formed the government, which was formed with the support of 20 allies. Vajpayee was an expert in managing coalition partners. He managed Jayalalitha, Mamata Banerjee and Mayawati to run the coalition government. Even at that time, Naidu had put so much pressure on Vajpayee that the Vajpayee government had to hold elections before time.
No, no… after that he will say yes, only then will Narendra Modi's smile return
TDP-JDU's 28 seats gave NDA an edge
Chandrababu Naidu's Telugu Desam Party (TDP) and Nitish Kumar's Janata Dal United (JDU) together won 28 seats and took the NDA past the majority mark of 272. At present, the NDA has got 292 seats. That means if the seats of these two parties are removed, then the NDA will be left with only 264 seats. In such a situation, the importance of these two in the NDA has increased a lot.
Chandrababu is cheating, his record in supporting people is not good
Handling Naidu and Nitish is a big challenge for Modi
The biggest challenge before PM Modi will be to take Chandrababu Naidu and Nitish Kumar along. After Narendra Modi came to Delhi from Gujarat, the relations of Nitish Kumar and Naidu with BJP have become quite bitter. When Narendra Modi became the Prime Minister for the first time in 2014, Naidu and Nitish were in the anti-BJP camp and have returned to NDA just before this Lok Sabha election.
Naidu sometimes supported Deve Gowda and sometimes Vajpayee
Just two years after Deve Gowda became PM, i.e. in 1998, Naidu took a U-turn and played a key role in forming the country's first NDA government with the BJP, due to which Atal Bihari Vajpayee became the Prime Minister. In 1999 too, he supported the Vajpayee government to form the government at the Centre.
Naidu blamed the Vajpayee government for the defeat
In 2004, when Naidu's TDP faced defeat in Andhra Pradesh and subsequently the NDA alliance also faced defeat in the 2004 Lok Sabha elections, Naidu blamed the BJP for this defeat.
The key to the government is in the hands of TDP and JDU, the opposition is also making an offer, the game will become interesting as soon as both of them change sides
Nitish Kumar's dream of becoming the Prime Minister may prove costly
It is being said that Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar once used to call himself a contender for the post of PM. His dream has not been fulfilled yet. In such a situation, Bharat Gathbandhan can also bring him to its camp by showing him the dream of the post of PM. Nitish has been taking U-turns many times. Sometimes he becomes close to BJP and sometimes to RJD. In such a situation, he cannot be trusted much. Now PM Modi will have to move forward very carefully, so that TDP or JDU cannot 'blackmail' him.
