El Niño is gone, clouds will rain heavily in these two months, US weather department gives good news

Ananya Shroff
4 Min Read

New Delhi: There is good news for the people of North India including Delhi who are facing severe heat. El Nino, which has been affecting the world's weather for about a year, has ended. This means that people will get to see good rain in the coming two months. According to the US weather departments, there is a possibility of 'La Nina' in the Pacific Ocean in the next two months. Due to this, there is going to be heavy rain in August-September.better late than never
According to the latest update of the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), there is a 65 percent chance of La Nina forming in the July-September period. This is a little late from last month's estimate, but there is still time to affect the monsoon. In the NOAA forecast last month, the probability of La Nina forming in the June-August period was about 50 percent, which has now come down to 40 percent. This is in line with the forecast of the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD). The Meteorological Department has predicted 6 percent more than average rainfall i.e. 106 percent of the long-term average rainfall in the four-month monsoon season. Along with this, good rains have also been predicted in the second half of the season.

This is a good sign for India
Senior meteorologist and former secretary of the Meteorological Department M Rajeevan said that the latest forecast from the US is a good sign for the monsoon. Even though La Nina is declared around August, the abnormal changes in temperature that occur during that period have already started forming. The change from normal weather to La Nina during the monsoon is a good sign for India.

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Understand the difference between La Nina and El Nino
La Niña is a seasonal condition that occurs every three to seven years. It cools surface waters below normal levels in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, with changes in wind patterns affecting weather across much of the world. El Niño is the opposite condition, with unusually warm ocean waters. El Niño/La Niña is the largest natural source of year-to-year variations in seasonal climate.

While El Niño events typically lead to poor monsoon rains in India, La Niña events typically help bring good monsoon rains. The last El Niño developed around May 2023 and peaked in December-January as one of the five most powerful events on record. NOAA said on Thursday that conditions in the Pacific region turned 'neutral' last month, meaning El Niño has ended.

Monsoon system weakened
Meanwhile, the onset of monsoon in India has been good so far. It has covered the entire south India and Northeast along with most parts of Maharashtra, but the system has weakened and is likely to remain so for 7-10 days. Experts say rainfall in the country as a whole has been 12.2% below normal in June. Rajeevan said that due to the interruption in the monsoon, there may be less than normal rainfall in June. The weakening of the monsoon has also reduced the chances of early rains in north India, which is currently in the grip of an unprecedentedly long and scorching heat.

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